20180226
Long 1 RTY 1550.7, -0.7
Long 1 RTY 1549.0, 1540.0, +1.0, -0.0
Short 2 NQ 6965.0, 6965.0, +2.0, +10.0
Long 2 RTY 1544.1, 1544.4, +1.0 , +1.0
Long 1 NQ 6936.0, +5.0
Long 1 RTY 1543.9, +2.0
Total NQ +17.0
Total RTY +4.3
Fri Feb 23 Trade Signal Summary
20180223
Long 1 RTY 1536.9, +1.8
Short 1 RTY 1539.5, +1.0
Long 1 RTY 1531.8, +1.5
Total RTY +4.3
Long 1 RTY 1536.9, +1.8
Short 1 RTY 1539.5, +1.0
Long 1 RTY 1531.8, +1.5
Total RTY +4.3
Thurs Feb 22 Trade Signal Summary
20180222
Short 3 RTY 1542.3, 1542.3, 1542.9, +2.4, +2.4, +3.0
Total RTY +7.8
Short 3 RTY 1542.3, 1542.3, 1542.9, +2.4, +2.4, +3.0
Total RTY +7.8
Wed Feb 21 Trade Signal Summary
20180221
Short 2 YM 25061, 25061, +10, -10
Short 1 NQ 6831.5, 6831.5, +5.0, +11.0
Short 1 RTY 1543.8, +1.0
Short 1 RTY 1546.4, +1.0
Total YM -0
Total NQ +16.0
Total RTY +2.0
Short 2 YM 25061, 25061, +10, -10
Short 1 NQ 6831.5, 6831.5, +5.0, +11.0
Short 1 RTY 1543.8, +1.0
Short 1 RTY 1546.4, +1.0
Total YM -0
Total NQ +16.0
Total RTY +2.0
Tues Feb 20 Trade Signal Summary
20180220
Short 2 RTY 1543.8, 1543.5, +2.0, +2.4
Short 3 RTY 1543.1, 1544.1, 1544.6, -0.0, -1.4, -0.7
Short 3 RTY 1544.6, 1544.6, 1544.6, +0.8, +2.0, +2.0
Long 2 NQ 6779.75, 6779.75, +5.0, -1.25
Long 2 RTY 1540.4, 1540.5, +1.0, +2.7
Total NQ +3.75
Total RTY +10.8
Short 2 RTY 1543.8, 1543.5, +2.0, +2.4
Short 3 RTY 1543.1, 1544.1, 1544.6, -0.0, -1.4, -0.7
Short 3 RTY 1544.6, 1544.6, 1544.6, +0.8, +2.0, +2.0
Long 2 NQ 6779.75, 6779.75, +5.0, -1.25
Long 2 RTY 1540.4, 1540.5, +1.0, +2.7
Total NQ +3.75
Total RTY +10.8
Mon Feb 19 Trade Signal Summary
20180219
Long 2 RTY 1538.2, 1538.2, +1.0, -0.7
Short 2 RTY 1538.1, 1538.1, +1.4, +1.5
Long 2 NQ 6776.0, 6776.0, +3.0, -3.0
Long 3 NQ 6779.25, 6769.25, 6769.25, +3.0, +10.0, +10.0
Long 2 YM 25066, 25066, +15, +40
Long 2 RTY 1530.9, 1530.9, -0.0, -0.0
Total YM +55
Total NQ +23.0
Total RTY +3.2
Long 2 RTY 1538.2, 1538.2, +1.0, -0.7
Short 2 RTY 1538.1, 1538.1, +1.4, +1.5
Long 2 NQ 6776.0, 6776.0, +3.0, -3.0
Long 3 NQ 6779.25, 6769.25, 6769.25, +3.0, +10.0, +10.0
Long 2 YM 25066, 25066, +15, +40
Long 2 RTY 1530.9, 1530.9, -0.0, -0.0
Total YM +55
Total NQ +23.0
Total RTY +3.2
Fri Feb 16 Trade Signal Summary
20180216
Short 2 NQ 6819.0, 6819.0, +3.0, -3.0
Short 3 RTY 1544.4, 1544.4, 1544.4, +1.0, +2.0, +4.0
Long 2 NQ, 6802.0, 6801.0, -3.0, -3.0
Long 3 NQ 6796.0, 6796.0, 6796.0, +3.0. +3.0, -3.0
Total NQ -3.0
Total RTY +7.0
Short 2 NQ 6819.0, 6819.0, +3.0, -3.0
Short 3 RTY 1544.4, 1544.4, 1544.4, +1.0, +2.0, +4.0
Long 2 NQ, 6802.0, 6801.0, -3.0, -3.0
Long 3 NQ 6796.0, 6796.0, 6796.0, +3.0. +3.0, -3.0
Total NQ -3.0
Total RTY +7.0
Thurs Feb 15 Trade Signal Summary
20180215
Short 1 NQ 6733.25, -2.0
Short 2 NQ 6741.5, 6741.5, +3.0, -3.0
Short 2 RTY 1529.2, 1529.2, +1.1, +3.6
Short 1 NQ 6728.25, -3.0
Short 1 YM 25053, +30
Total YM +30
Total NQ -5.0
Total RTY +4.7
Short 1 NQ 6733.25, -2.0
Short 2 NQ 6741.5, 6741.5, +3.0, -3.0
Short 2 RTY 1529.2, 1529.2, +1.1, +3.6
Short 1 NQ 6728.25, -3.0
Short 1 YM 25053, +30
Total YM +30
Total NQ -5.0
Total RTY +4.7
Wed Feb 14 Trade Signal Summary
20180214
Long 1 NQ 6538.5, +8.5
Short 2 RTY 1489.5, 1489.5, +1.0, +4.0
Short 1 RTY 1499.3, -0.0
Short 1 RTY 1505.8, +3.0
Total NQ +8.5
Total RTY +8.0
Long 1 NQ 6538.5, +8.5
Short 2 RTY 1489.5, 1489.5, +1.0, +4.0
Short 1 RTY 1499.3, -0.0
Short 1 RTY 1505.8, +3.0
Total NQ +8.5
Total RTY +8.0
Tues Feb 13 Trade Signal Summary
20180213
Short 1 NQ 6505.0, -4.0
Long 2 RTY 1482.2, 1482.1, -0.5, +2.5
Long 1 RTY 1480.6, +1.8
Short 2 NQ 6530.0, 6532.75, +2.0, -0.0
Short 2 RTY 1485.5, 1486.4, -0.0, -0.0
Total NQ -2.0
Total RTY +3.8
Short 1 NQ 6505.0, -4.0
Long 2 RTY 1482.2, 1482.1, -0.5, +2.5
Long 1 RTY 1480.6, +1.8
Short 2 NQ 6530.0, 6532.75, +2.0, -0.0
Short 2 RTY 1485.5, 1486.4, -0.0, -0.0
Total NQ -2.0
Total RTY +3.8
Mon Feb 12 Trade Signals & Journal
20180212
Short 1 YM 24519, +40
Long 1 NQ 6498.5, -6.0
Long 2 NQ 6493.25, 6493.25, -3.0, -3.0
Long 3 NQ 6486.75, 6486.75, +5.0, -3.0, -3.0
Long 2 RTY 1474.6, 1474.6, +4.0, +4.0
Long 1 RTY 1474.5, -2.0
Long 2 NQ 6472.5, 6472.5, -3.0, -3.0
Long 3 NQ 6466.0, 6466.0, 6466.0, -3.0, -3.0, -.30
Long 3 NQ 6450.25, 6450.25, 6450.25, -3.0, -3.0, -3.0
Long 4 RTY 1464.8, 1464.8, 1464.8, 1464.8, , +3.0, +3.0, +3.0, +3.0,
Long 3 NQ 6446.5, 6446.5, 6446.5, +10.0, +10.0, -0.75
Long 1 YM 24280, -17
Long 1 NQ 6432.5, -3.0
Long 2 NQ 6431.0, 6431.0, +15.0, +17.0
Long 2 YM 24279, 24279, +30, +30
Total YM +83
Total NQ +11.25
Total RTY +18.0
Last weeks action, though volatile, was nonetheless characterized with true signals. By that I mean, once a reversal action was in, the move stayed until resistance was hit in the opposite direction. Then you could either dump all units because even to the initial resistance was a big move, or you could partial out your position and risk the balance with a break-even stop loss. Today, on the way down, the action in the much desired NQ was stutter-step. That is, bounces off resistance at key Serial Sequent fractals went only far enough to give you false encouragement, then whip=lashed you into a stop-out in further trend extension. Was down my daily loss limit in NQ while up my daily goal in the RTY, so early going was just treading water. The key to getting back in after stop out is always the same. "Is the Trade Entry Technical Event Concept still intact?" (This model must include the Frame-of-Day criteria, as well as the Sequent fractal, of course). If yes, I re enter, if not, I wait until the next model asserts itself in further trend action. If the model is still intact, but price has extended the stretch, then consider the Martingale betting routine of re-entering with larger size than you got stopped out on.
Interestingly, Martingale works better in futures trading than on the gaming tables, where, for instance, a roulette wheel repeating the color red X times, still retains the same odds of 50/50, regardless of how big X actually is. There, it's just that it becomes unusual to extend X past some typical extension. But the stock futures market and a feature the roulette wheel does not have. It has ELASTICITY. That is, the players and their pursuit of entries and stop-outs put price extension into zones of exhaustion, and if the X on the roulette wheel could be affected by the number of players who bet against it as it continues to extend. On the table, of course, there is no such relationship between the number of players betting the likelihood of a change of color and the Pill's eventually land on the color wheel. But in the market, there IS such a relationship. Therefore, the Martingale scheme, which some say does increase your chances at Roulette and Black Jack, is truly meaningful in the markets.
Short 1 YM 24519, +40
Long 1 NQ 6498.5, -6.0
Long 2 NQ 6493.25, 6493.25, -3.0, -3.0
Long 3 NQ 6486.75, 6486.75, +5.0, -3.0, -3.0
Long 2 RTY 1474.6, 1474.6, +4.0, +4.0
Long 1 RTY 1474.5, -2.0
Long 2 NQ 6472.5, 6472.5, -3.0, -3.0
Long 3 NQ 6466.0, 6466.0, 6466.0, -3.0, -3.0, -.30
Long 3 NQ 6450.25, 6450.25, 6450.25, -3.0, -3.0, -3.0
Long 4 RTY 1464.8, 1464.8, 1464.8, 1464.8, , +3.0, +3.0, +3.0, +3.0,
Long 3 NQ 6446.5, 6446.5, 6446.5, +10.0, +10.0, -0.75
Long 1 YM 24280, -17
Long 1 NQ 6432.5, -3.0
Long 2 NQ 6431.0, 6431.0, +15.0, +17.0
Long 2 YM 24279, 24279, +30, +30
Total YM +83
Total NQ +11.25
Total RTY +18.0
Last weeks action, though volatile, was nonetheless characterized with true signals. By that I mean, once a reversal action was in, the move stayed until resistance was hit in the opposite direction. Then you could either dump all units because even to the initial resistance was a big move, or you could partial out your position and risk the balance with a break-even stop loss. Today, on the way down, the action in the much desired NQ was stutter-step. That is, bounces off resistance at key Serial Sequent fractals went only far enough to give you false encouragement, then whip=lashed you into a stop-out in further trend extension. Was down my daily loss limit in NQ while up my daily goal in the RTY, so early going was just treading water. The key to getting back in after stop out is always the same. "Is the Trade Entry Technical Event Concept still intact?" (This model must include the Frame-of-Day criteria, as well as the Sequent fractal, of course). If yes, I re enter, if not, I wait until the next model asserts itself in further trend action. If the model is still intact, but price has extended the stretch, then consider the Martingale betting routine of re-entering with larger size than you got stopped out on.
Interestingly, Martingale works better in futures trading than on the gaming tables, where, for instance, a roulette wheel repeating the color red X times, still retains the same odds of 50/50, regardless of how big X actually is. There, it's just that it becomes unusual to extend X past some typical extension. But the stock futures market and a feature the roulette wheel does not have. It has ELASTICITY. That is, the players and their pursuit of entries and stop-outs put price extension into zones of exhaustion, and if the X on the roulette wheel could be affected by the number of players who bet against it as it continues to extend. On the table, of course, there is no such relationship between the number of players betting the likelihood of a change of color and the Pill's eventually land on the color wheel. But in the market, there IS such a relationship. Therefore, the Martingale scheme, which some say does increase your chances at Roulette and Black Jack, is truly meaningful in the markets.
Fri Feb 9 Trade Signals & Journal
20180209
Short 1 RTY 1475.7.0, -1.5
Short 3 RTY 1478.0, 1478.0, 1478.0, +2.0, +2.0, +3.0
Short 1 RTY 1477.7, -0.7
Short 1 RTY 1479.9, +3.0
Long 1 NQ 6369.25, +10.0
Long RTY 1460.4, 1459.8, +0.3, -1.5
Long 1 NQ 6365.0, -6.0
Long 1 RTY 1457.3, -1.5
Long 2 NQ 6288.25, 6288.25, +10.0, +48.75
Long 3 RTY 1455.1, 1455.1, 1455.1, +2.0, +2.0, +7.0
Total NQ +62.75
Total RTY +16.1
Volatility is like a rubber band. The question is, when do you know that it's about to snap back? Our Trade Plan requires a combination of disparate technical event concepts to arrive simultaneously at the right edge of the video screen. ...but that doesn't always predict the extent of the exhaustion spike. When extending to such extremes, as did the post TrendCheck plummet, you must rely on the Trade Model still being intact before using a Martingale betting srategy of increasing size into extremes. Otherwise, you just add to the losses of your earlier stop-outs. Today was nearly ideal for that, as the plummet took place in an environment of increased volatility, but in so doing, set the stage for a powerful bounce-back. Thus the better than average profits. Stay alert. Stick to your plan. Plan for contingencies in market behavior.
Short 1 RTY 1475.7.0, -1.5
Short 3 RTY 1478.0, 1478.0, 1478.0, +2.0, +2.0, +3.0
Short 1 RTY 1477.7, -0.7
Short 1 RTY 1479.9, +3.0
Long 1 NQ 6369.25, +10.0
Long RTY 1460.4, 1459.8, +0.3, -1.5
Long 1 NQ 6365.0, -6.0
Long 1 RTY 1457.3, -1.5
Long 2 NQ 6288.25, 6288.25, +10.0, +48.75
Long 3 RTY 1455.1, 1455.1, 1455.1, +2.0, +2.0, +7.0
Total NQ +62.75
Total RTY +16.1
Volatility is like a rubber band. The question is, when do you know that it's about to snap back? Our Trade Plan requires a combination of disparate technical event concepts to arrive simultaneously at the right edge of the video screen. ...but that doesn't always predict the extent of the exhaustion spike. When extending to such extremes, as did the post TrendCheck plummet, you must rely on the Trade Model still being intact before using a Martingale betting srategy of increasing size into extremes. Otherwise, you just add to the losses of your earlier stop-outs. Today was nearly ideal for that, as the plummet took place in an environment of increased volatility, but in so doing, set the stage for a powerful bounce-back. Thus the better than average profits. Stay alert. Stick to your plan. Plan for contingencies in market behavior.
Thurs Feb 8 Trade Signal Summary
20180208
Short 1 NQ 6505.75, +10.0
Long 1 NQ 6548.25, +10.0
Long 1 RTY 1500.1, -0.7
Long 1 RTY 1498.2, +2.0
Total NQ +20.0
Total RTY +1.4
Short 1 NQ 6505.75, +10.0
Long 1 NQ 6548.25, +10.0
Long 1 RTY 1500.1, -0.7
Long 1 RTY 1498.2, +2.0
Total NQ +20.0
Total RTY +1.4
Wed Feb 7 Trade Signal Summary
20180207
Short 1 YM 24955, +30
Long 1 NQ 6632.0, -0.5
Short 2 NQ 6681.0, 6684.0, -0.0, +10.0
Short 1 NQ 6684.5, -2.0
Short 1 YM 25109, +60
Long 1 NQ 6655.0, -1.0
Long 1 YM 24981, +60
Total YM +150
Total NQ +6.5
Short 1 YM 24955, +30
Long 1 NQ 6632.0, -0.5
Short 2 NQ 6681.0, 6684.0, -0.0, +10.0
Short 1 NQ 6684.5, -2.0
Short 1 YM 25109, +60
Long 1 NQ 6655.0, -1.0
Long 1 YM 24981, +60
Total YM +150
Total NQ +6.5
Tues Feb 6 Trades and Journal
20180206
Short 1 NQ 6540.0, +26.0
Short 1 NQ 6584.0, +20.0
Short 1 RTY 1499.0, -0.2
Total NQ +46.0
Total RTY -0.2
The test of a methodology is it's behavior in both nornal markets and volatile, in both markets ingested with news, and on those days when even a minor economic report fails to appear on the report docket. Today, volatility was extreme. The Dow mini took 100 pt bounces in the early going like they were mere ticks. The NQ sported 100 pt moves like the weather was a calm Spring day. But Serial Sequent, the TTI Momentum Indicator and the Pivot Exhaustion Grid aligned into trade entry models like they would on any other day with less than 1/10th the volatility.....only you had to remember to pull your targets quickly, because the resulting swings were a lava flow of opportunity. ....and I left 4 times my daily goal on the table just getting out too soon....to just sit on my hands in the bleachers and watch the game unfold... Have a Trade Plan consisting of robust models that work in any market climate. Stick to the plan. And my mentor was fond of saying, "Position yourself to be surprised."
Short 1 NQ 6540.0, +26.0
Short 1 NQ 6584.0, +20.0
Short 1 RTY 1499.0, -0.2
Total NQ +46.0
Total RTY -0.2
The test of a methodology is it's behavior in both nornal markets and volatile, in both markets ingested with news, and on those days when even a minor economic report fails to appear on the report docket. Today, volatility was extreme. The Dow mini took 100 pt bounces in the early going like they were mere ticks. The NQ sported 100 pt moves like the weather was a calm Spring day. But Serial Sequent, the TTI Momentum Indicator and the Pivot Exhaustion Grid aligned into trade entry models like they would on any other day with less than 1/10th the volatility.....only you had to remember to pull your targets quickly, because the resulting swings were a lava flow of opportunity. ....and I left 4 times my daily goal on the table just getting out too soon....to just sit on my hands in the bleachers and watch the game unfold... Have a Trade Plan consisting of robust models that work in any market climate. Stick to the plan. And my mentor was fond of saying, "Position yourself to be surprised."
Mon Feb 5 Trade Signal Summary
20180205
Long 1 NQ 6710.0, +10.0
Short 1 NQ 6729.0, -2.0
Short 1 NQ 6729.0, +5.0
Short 1 NQ 6743.75, +5.0
Short 2 RTY 1540.1, 1540.6, -1.4, -0.2
Short 2 RTY 1542.2, 1542.2, -1.4, -1.4
Short 8 RTY 1544.0, 1544.0, 1544.0, 1544.0, 1544.5, 1544.5, 1544.7, 1544.7, -1.4, -1.4, +1.0, +1.0, +1.0, +1.0, -1.5, -1.5
Short 2 YM 25383, 25383, -7, -7
Short 1 NQ 6790. -2.0
Short 2 NQ 6793.0, 6793.0, -2.0, -2.0
Short 3 NQ 6799.0, 6799.0, 6799.0, -2.0, -2.0, -2.0
Short 2 RTY 1548.0, 1548.0, +3.0, +4.0
Short 2 NQ 6810.0, 6810.0, +5.0, +20.0
Total YM -14
Total NQ +31.0
Total RTY +0.8
Long 1 NQ 6710.0, +10.0
Short 1 NQ 6729.0, -2.0
Short 1 NQ 6729.0, +5.0
Short 1 NQ 6743.75, +5.0
Short 2 RTY 1540.1, 1540.6, -1.4, -0.2
Short 2 RTY 1542.2, 1542.2, -1.4, -1.4
Short 8 RTY 1544.0, 1544.0, 1544.0, 1544.0, 1544.5, 1544.5, 1544.7, 1544.7, -1.4, -1.4, +1.0, +1.0, +1.0, +1.0, -1.5, -1.5
Short 2 YM 25383, 25383, -7, -7
Short 1 NQ 6790. -2.0
Short 2 NQ 6793.0, 6793.0, -2.0, -2.0
Short 3 NQ 6799.0, 6799.0, 6799.0, -2.0, -2.0, -2.0
Short 2 RTY 1548.0, 1548.0, +3.0, +4.0
Short 2 NQ 6810.0, 6810.0, +5.0, +20.0
Total YM -14
Total NQ +31.0
Total RTY +0.8
Fri Feb 2 Trade Signals and Journal
Trade Summary
20180202
Long 1 NQ 6871.0, +10.0
Long 2 RTY 1566.7, 1566.7, +1.0, +2.0
Long 1 NQ 6851.0, -2.0
Long 2 NQ 6845.5, 6845.5, +5.0, -1.0
Long 2 RTY 1566.3, 1556.6, +0.2, -0.7
Short 1 NQ 6849.75, +12.0
Long 1 NQ 6824.75, -2.5
Long 1 NQ 6808.75, -2.0
Long 1 NQ 6809.5, +10.0
Short 1 NQ 6835.75, -1.0
Short 1 NQ 6838.25, +5.0
Short 1 RTY 1565.7, +2.2
Total NQ +33.5
Total RTY +4.7
Volatility is your friend. ...if you are trained in handling poisonous snakes, that is. Stick your plan. The Technical Event Concepts for entering in a dull market are exactly the same as entering in a hot one. Only the wave action is much more likely to stop you out in the fast stuff. Reduce your size. Have all four major contracts out in front of you. Go where the signals are true and the leadership is consistent. This week, that's been all in the NQ. ...and that's a bit unusual, as the NQ can be a ton of irrational exuberance--in both directions. Go where the models fit your trade plan. Trade the plan not your prejudice.
20180202
Long 1 NQ 6871.0, +10.0
Long 2 RTY 1566.7, 1566.7, +1.0, +2.0
Long 1 NQ 6851.0, -2.0
Long 2 NQ 6845.5, 6845.5, +5.0, -1.0
Long 2 RTY 1566.3, 1556.6, +0.2, -0.7
Short 1 NQ 6849.75, +12.0
Long 1 NQ 6824.75, -2.5
Long 1 NQ 6808.75, -2.0
Long 1 NQ 6809.5, +10.0
Short 1 NQ 6835.75, -1.0
Short 1 NQ 6838.25, +5.0
Short 1 RTY 1565.7, +2.2
Total NQ +33.5
Total RTY +4.7
Volatility is your friend. ...if you are trained in handling poisonous snakes, that is. Stick your plan. The Technical Event Concepts for entering in a dull market are exactly the same as entering in a hot one. Only the wave action is much more likely to stop you out in the fast stuff. Reduce your size. Have all four major contracts out in front of you. Go where the signals are true and the leadership is consistent. This week, that's been all in the NQ. ...and that's a bit unusual, as the NQ can be a ton of irrational exuberance--in both directions. Go where the models fit your trade plan. Trade the plan not your prejudice.
Thurs Feb 1 Trade Signal Summary
20180201
Short 2 RTY 1571.5, 1571.5, +1.0, +2.0
Long 1 NQ 6926.75, -2.25
Long 2 NQ 6925.5, 6925.75, +3, +15
Short 2 RTY 1573.0, 1573.0, 1574.0, 1574.0, -1.5, -1.5, -1.5, -1.5
Short 6 RTY 1574.7, 1574.7, 1574.7, 1574.7, 1574.7, 1574.7, +1.5, +1.5, +1.5, +1.5, +2.0, +2.0
Short 2 NQ 6953.25, 6953.25, +2.0, +5.0
Short 2 RTY 1575.4, 1574.5, +1.0, +1.0
Long 1 NQ 6950.0, -2.25
Long 2 NQ 6944.0, 6944.0, +2.0, -2.0
Long 1 RTY 1572.6, +1.0
Total NQ +20.5
Total RTY +10.0
Short 2 RTY 1571.5, 1571.5, +1.0, +2.0
Long 1 NQ 6926.75, -2.25
Long 2 NQ 6925.5, 6925.75, +3, +15
Short 2 RTY 1573.0, 1573.0, 1574.0, 1574.0, -1.5, -1.5, -1.5, -1.5
Short 6 RTY 1574.7, 1574.7, 1574.7, 1574.7, 1574.7, 1574.7, +1.5, +1.5, +1.5, +1.5, +2.0, +2.0
Short 2 NQ 6953.25, 6953.25, +2.0, +5.0
Short 2 RTY 1575.4, 1574.5, +1.0, +1.0
Long 1 NQ 6950.0, -2.25
Long 2 NQ 6944.0, 6944.0, +2.0, -2.0
Long 1 RTY 1572.6, +1.0
Total NQ +20.5
Total RTY +10.0
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