Mon Dec 10 Trade Signal Summary

20181210
Long 1 RTY 1448.2, -0.5
Long 1 RTY 1447.7, +3.0, +3.0
Short 1 RTY 1450.0, -0.1
Short 2 YM 24290, 24290, +30, -5
Total YM +25
Total RTY +5.4

Fri Dec 7 Trade Signal Summary

20181207
Short 1 NQ 6837.25, +9.75
Long 2 YM 24980, 24974, -10, -7
Long 2 YM 24950, 24950, -7, -7
Long 2 NQ 6780.0, 6780.0 -2.25, -2.25
Long 3 YM 24879, 24879, 24879, -10, -10, -10
Long 4 YM 24820, 24820, 24820, 24820, -1, -1., -1, -1
Long 4 YM 24708, 24709, 24708, 24708 -10, -10, -10, -10
Long 3 NQ 6749.5, 6749.5, 6749.5, +15, +20, +14.5
Total YM -105
Total NQ +54.75

Thurs Dec 6 Trade Signal Summary

20181206
Short 1 YM 24692, +42
Long 1 YM 24490, -0
Long 1 YM 24489, -7
Long 1 NQ 6672.0, -2.0
Long 2 NQ 6668.25, -2.25, ,-2.25
Long 3 NQ 6655.25, 6655.25, 6655.25, +10.0, +11.0, +15.75
Total YM +35
Total +30.25

Wed Dec 5 No trades, away from mkt

Tues Dec 4 No trades, away from mkt

Mon Dec 3 Trade Summary and Journal

20181203
Long 1 YM 25957, -7
Long 2 NQ 7076.75, 7076.5, -3.25, +3.0
Long 2 RTY 1540.8, 1440.8, +1.0, -1.1
Long 1 YM 25885, -7
Long 1 YM 25868, +20
Short 1 NQ 7075.0, -2.25
Short 2 NQ 7077.0, +2.0, -2.25
Short 2 NQ 7081.25, 7081.25, -2.25, -2.25
Short 2 NQ 7083.0, 7083.0, -2.25, -2.25
Short 2 NQ 7087.0, 70.87.0, -2.25, -2.25
Short 3 NQ 7093.25, 7093.25, 7093.25, -0.5, -0.5, -0.5
Short 2 NQ 7095.0, 7095.0, -2.25, -2.25
Short 3 NQ 7098.0, 7098.0, 7098.0, +10, +20, +19.5
Total YM +6
Total NQ +23.0
Total RTY -0.1

An gap up opening in the Dow of some 400 points apparently left an open gap in my brain, for while I was searching the early Open Range action for a possible ORB short triggering pattern, all I could comment on the room was the initial bull 3 Bar ORB setup which was far too risking considering the HUGE affect of possible gravity. (However, it worked for 2 pts in profit, had you been quick enough to get some of it...) And while I was musing on the risk of using any ORB pattern to buy such a behemoth risk, I missed the YM ORB sell pennant, which eventually produced a +100 point profit and an easy way to participate the early decline. Wake up and smell the coffee... or better still, wake up and drink some.... You can't use your Trade Plan if it doesn't have these entry models well laid out, and you won't use your Trade Plan if you are stunned by the unusual nature of the extreme an extreme gap.

Fri Nov 30 Trade Signal Summary

20181130
Short 1 NQ 6891, +14.75
Short 2 RTY 1527.7, 1527.8, +4.0, +1.0
Total NQ +14.75
Total RTY +5.0

Thurs Nov 29 Trade Signal Summary

20181129
Short 1 NQ 6896.75, +10
Long 1 RTY 1525.3, -0.0
Short 1 YM 25325, +20
Long 1 YM 25276, -4
Long 1 YM 25263, +65
Total YM +81
Total NQ +10.0
Total RtY -0


Wed Nov 28 Trade Signal Summary

20181128
Long 1 YM 24870, +20
Long 1 RTY 1493.9, -1.4
Long 1 RTY 1491.0, -1.4
Long 1 YM 24868, +22
Long 2 RTY 1488.0, 1499.0, -0.5, -0.5
Short 1 NQ 6745.5, -2.25
Long 1 YM 24860, -7
Long 2 NQ 6717.75, 6718.25, +3.0, +11.0
Short 1 YM 24910, -5
Short 1 RTY 1493.2, -1.4
Short 2 YM 24921, 24921, -4, -4
Short 2 YM 24923, 24923, -10, -10
Short 2 YM 24940, 24940, +12, +20
Short 2 RTY 1499.5, 1499.5, +1.0, +1.0
Short 3 NQ 6738.25, 673825, 6740.0, -2.5, -2.5, -3.0
Short 4 NQ 6741.25, 67412.25, 6741.25, 6741.25, +5.0, +5.0, +9.0, +16.0
Total YM +34
Total NQ +38.75
Total RTY -3.2




Tues Nov 27 Trade Signal Summary

20181127
Short 1 RTY 1502.3, -.3
Short 2 RTY 1502.4, 1502.1, +3.2, +1.0
Long 1 YM 24440, -13
Long 2 YM 24424, 24415, +15, +15
Short 1 NQ 6657.0, -0.5
Short 1 NQ 6711.0, +11.25
Long 1 NQ 6677.0, -2.25
Long 1 NQ 6674.75, -1.0
Long 1 NQ 7773.75, -1.25
Long 1 NQ 7772.75, +13.5
Total YM +17
Total NQ +19.75
Total RTY +3.9

Mon Nov 26 Trade Signal Summary

20181126
Short 3 RTY 1506.5, 1506.5, 1506.6, -0.0, -0.2, -0.3
Short 2 NQ 6639.75, 6640.0, -0.0, -3.5
Short 1 NQ 6645.0, -3.0
Short 2 NQ 6647.0, 6647.0, -3.5, -3.5
Short 2 NQ 6655.0, 6655.0, -3.5, -3.5
Short 1 NQ 6659.0, -2.5
Short 3 RTY 1511.1, 1511.1, 1511.1, +3.0, +3.0, +3.0
Long 1 YM 24600, +30
Total YM +30
Total NQ -16.0
Total RTY, +8.5



Mon Nov 19 Trade Signals and Journal

Total 2018 Trade Summary
20181119
Short 2 NQ 6837.75, 6837.75, +5.0, +10.0
Short 1 RTY 1525.2, -0.7
Short 2 RTY 1527.3, 1527.3, +0.3, -0.5
Long 2 NQ 6805.0, 6805.0, -2.5, -2.5
Long 3 NQ 6801.0l 6801, 6801.0, +3.0, -1.75, -1.75
Long 3 RTY 1517.5, 1517.5, 1517.7, -1.4, -1.4, -1.5
Long 1 YM 25259, -7
Long 3 NQ 6775.0, 6775.0, 6775.0, -3.0, -3.0, -3.0
Long 4 NQ 6755.0, 6755.0, 6755.0, 6755.0, +8.0, +8.0, +10.0, +14.0
Long 1 NQ 6747.0, -2.5
Long 2 NQ 6745.5, 6745.5, -2.75, -2.75
Long 3 NQ 6740.0, 6740.0, 6740.0, -3.25, -3.25, -3.25
Long 4 NQ 6740.0, 6740.0, 6740.0, 6740.0, +8.0, +8.0, +10, -0.5
Long 1 NQ 6739.50, -2.5
Long 2 NQ 6739.75, 6739.75, +5.0, -5.25
Long 1 YM 25130, +80
Short 2 RTY 1520.5, 1520.2, +2.1, +1.0
Total YM +73
Total NQ +45.5
Total RTY -2.1

As pointed out as an noteworthy market observation many years ago in the book Pivots and Patterns..,
an ORB Pennant often preclude a Persistent Trend Day in the direction of the breakout... but it took a student
to remind me of this in the chat room today, who wisely quit his trading after the profits from today's ORB Pennant breakdown, and watched with apparent amusement as I first lost those same profits, then went into a hole, and then had to go hunting for big game to dig myself out.... which gratefully did finally arrive for a decent recovery rally, finally, towards the end of the first frame... Trend prejudice, once in place, is a hard thing to shake. And I cannot account for my bullish prejudice in today's mini crash, but clearly paid for it, forcing me to put Serial Sequent and the oversold momentum readings of 3 TTI indicators to a risky, waterfall test. And to stress that my bullish stance had still not been squelched by the early brutal liquidation, when a near perfect short opportunity to the ensuing bear appeared in the action of the bouncing RTY, I was shaken out of it with a meager profit at the first sign of adversity, only to watch it careen back downward and onto to new lows....without me.. One has to marvel at the ability of the market to dissuade from its underlying intent. ....like the way I could not grasp nor believe in the extent of the amazing bull heights the market could achieve on the way up these past many years. ...and must question myself on such a day as today, if I am to face the same but opposite prejudice of disbelief if finally the Ursa Major has at last awoken from her slumbers, and is intent to dominate the current landscape of spectators, like me, with mouths agape.

Fri Nov 16 Trade Signal Summary

20181116
Short 1 NQ 6827.75, +10.0
Short 1 YM 25206, -7
Short 3 YM 25213, 25210, 25216, -10, +10, -11
Short 2 YM 25235, 25235, -11, -11
Short 2 NQ 6854.75, 6854.75, -2.5, -2.5
Short 2 NQ 6858.25, 6858.25, -3.0, -3.0
Short 2 YM 25275, 25273, +10, -0
Short 3 NQ 6874.25, 6874.25, 6874.25, ++12.0, +12.0, +10.0
Short 1 YM 25280, -9
Short 2 RTY 1521.7, 1521.4, -1.5, -1.5
Short 1 NQ 6875.75, +5.0
Short 1 YM 25332, -5
Short 1 NQ 6896.5, -2.5
Short 1 NQ 6900.5, +10.0
Total YM, -44
Total NQ +45.5
Total RTY -3.0

Thurs Nov 15 Trade Signal Summary

20181115
Long 1 RTY 1496.9, +2.0
Short 1 RTY 1401.8, +2.0
Long 1 NQ 6777.0, -2.5
Long 2 NQ 6772.75, -2.5
Long 2 NQ 6765.0, 6765.0, +5.0, +14.0
Long 1 NQ 6752.75, -2.5
Long 2 NQ 6747.0, 6747.0, +10.0, +10.5
Total NQ +32.0
Total RTY +4.0

Wed Nov 14 Trade Signal Summary

20181114
Short 1 YM 25441, -7
Short 2 YM 2525456, 25454, -10, -10
Long 1 YM 25414, -7
Long 2 YM 25409, 25409, +11, -1
Short 1 YM 25442, +20
Long 1 NQ 6871.75, +5.0
Long 1 NQ 6860.0, -2.5
Long 2 NQ 6846.25, 6846.25, +8.0, +10.0
Long 2 RTY 1523.5, 1523.5, +1.0, -0.4
Long 1 NQ 6832.25, +10.0
Short 1 RTY 1526.4, +3.2
Total YM -4
Total NQ +30.5
Total RTY +3.8

Tues Nov 13 Trade Signal Summary

20181113
Long 2 YM 25492, 25489, -10, -10
Short 1 RTY 1535.5, +4.0
Long 1 NQ 6878.0, -2.5
Long 2 NQ 6877.0, 6877.0, +11, +0.5
Long 1 YM 25468, -10
Long 1 NQ 6870.5, -2.5
Long 2 NQ 6869.75, 6869.75 -2.5, -2.5
Long 2 YM 25325, 25325, -10, -10
Long 2 YM 25321, 25321-10, -10
Long 3 NQ 6835.0, 5835.0, 5835.0, +10, +10, +27
Short 2 NQ 6893.0, 6893.0, +5.0, +14.5
Total YM -70
Total NQ +68.0
Total RTY +4.0

Mon Nov 12 Trade Signal Summary

20181112
Long 2 YM 25821, 25815, -9, +10
Long 2 RTY 1542.9, 1542.9, +1.1, -1.0
Long 1 ES 2761.5, -1.5
Long 2 NQ 6925.0, 6926.75, 6927.0, +12.0, +5.25, +5.0
Long 1 YM 25777, -10
Long 2 RTY 1532.7 1532.7, -0.0, -0.0
Long 2 RTY 1531.1, 1531.1, +1.2, +4.0
Short 1 RTY 1538.6, +4.0
Total ES -1.5
Total YM -11
Total NQ +22.25
Total RTY +9.3

Fri Nov 9 Trade Signal Summary

20181109
Long 1 RTY 1568.0, +2.0
Long 1 RTY 1567.5, -0.7
Long 1 NQ 7075.0, -2.0
Long 1 NQ 7071.5, 7071.5, -2.25, -2.25
Long 2 NQ 7072.0, 7172.0, +7.0, +10.0
Long 1 RTY 1565.3, +2.0
Long 1 RTY 1561.0, -1.0
Long 1 NQ 7060, -2.5
Long 1 NQ 7052.75, -2.5
Long 2 RTY 1555.9, 1555.9, +1.0, -0.1
Long 2 NQ 7051.75, 7051.75, -2.5, -2.5
Long 2 YM 28993, 28993, +20, +20
Short 1 NQ 7064.0, +5.0
Short 1 NQ 7070.0, -2.5
Short 1 NQ 7073.25, -2.25
Short 1 NQ 7080.75, +10.0
Short 2 RTY 1562.5, 1562.5, +1.0, +4.0
Short 1 NQ 7052.5, +5.0
Total YM +40
Total NQ +15.75
Total RTY +8.2

Thurs Nov 8 Trade Signal Summary

20181108
Short 2 NQ 7174.75, 7174.75, +10.0, +12.0
Short 1 NQ 7179.75, -2.5
Short 1 NQ 7181.5, -0.25
Short 1 NQ 7185.25, +6.0
Short 1 NQ 7193.25, -0.25
Long 1 NQ 7173.0, -2.5
Long 1 NQ 7168.0, -0.5
Long 1 YM 26133, +5
Short 1 RTY 1586.0, -0.2
Short 1 YM 26210, +10
Short 1 YM 26226, -0
Total YM +15
Total NQ +22.5
Total RTY -0.2

Wed Nov 7 Trade Signals (brief attendance)

20181107
Long 2 NQ 7577.0, 7577.0, +5.0, +10.0
Total NQ +15.0

Tues Nov 6 Trade Signal Summary

20181106
Short 1 YM 25485, -12
Short 1 RTY 1551.5, +2.5
Short 1 NQ 7017.0, -2.5
Long 2 NQ 7018.0, 7018.0, +6.0, +10.0
Long 1 YM 25458, -1
Short 1 RTY 1554.0, +2.5
Total YM -13
Total RTY +5.0
Total NQ +13.5

Mon Nov 5 Trade Signal Summary

20181105
Long 1 RTY 1553.3, +2.8
Long 2 RTY 1549.5, 1549.5, +1.4, +2.0
Short 1 NQ 1569.5, +4.75
Long 2 RTY 1542.7, 1542.8, -1.4, -1.4
Long 1 NQ 6881.0, +5.0
Long 1 NQ 6877.0, -2.5
Long 1 NQ 6876.25, -2.5
Long 2 NQ 6874.75, 6875.75, +6.0, +7.0
Short 2 RTY 1541.1, 1541.3, +0.7, -0.8
Short 1 YM 25353, -6
Short 2 NQ 6897.25, 6897.25, +3.0, -3.25
Short 2 RTY 1544.4, 1544.4, -1.4, -1.4
Short 3 YM 25390, 25390, 25387, +22, +30, +26
Short 3 RTY 1545.7, 1545.7, 1545.8, +0.9, -0.6, -0.6
Short 1 RTY 1547.3, +2.7
Total YM +72
Total +20.0
Total RTY +2.9

Fri Nov 2 Trade Signals and Journal

20181102
Short 1 RTY 1559.1, +2.0
Long 1 NQ 7065.0, -2.5
Long 2 NQ 7055.25, 7058.0, +12.0, +10.0
Long 1 NQ 7055.25, -2.5
Long 1 NQ 7030.0, -2.5
Long 1 NQ 7027.25, -2.5
Long 2 YM 25133, 25133, -7, -7
Long 2 NQ 7009.0, 7009.0, +11.0, +5.0
Long 1 NQ 7005.0, +25.0
Total YM -14
Total NQ +53.0
Total RTY +2.0


As I reminded students in the valhalla chat room today, near the end of the 1st frame:
"
Fri Nov02 10:30AM but RT now joins others in potential 2nd trend
Fri Nov02 10:30AM so this bounce could be last hurrah
Fri Nov02 10:30AM if when it starts....
Fri Nov02 10:31AM someone once said "2nd trends are where the surprises hide..."
Fri Nov02 10:31AM and this one showing some definitely cruelty to bulls
Fri Nov02 10:32AM think back to that RT 7 up at the HOD
Fri Nov02 10:32AM how scary it seemed to short up there
Fri Nov02 10:32AM was the safest play all day
Fri Nov02 10:33AM how comfortable it felt to throw money at the pulllback with longs because of
Fri Nov02 10:33AM that rally
Fri Nov02 10:33AM but how risky it was
Fri Nov02 10:33AM bottle that
Fri Nov02 10:33AM and you have captured
Fri Nov02 10:33AM an understanding
Fri Nov02 10:33AM of Test-n-Reject
Fri Nov02 10:33AM psychology
Fri Nov02 10:34AM and how it gets traders out of their profits
Fri Nov02 10:34AM and keeps them from taking the best trades offered
Fri Nov02 10:34AM day
Fri Nov02 10:34AM after day
Fri Nov02 10:34AM after day
Fri Nov02 10:34AM on nearly 80%
Fri Nov02 10:34AM of all trading days
Fri Nov02 10:35AM "Fade the First"
Fri Nov02 10:35AM and you're betting the better odds

I got away with 2nd trend fades today in the NQ because they occurred near the Trend Check, at extremes in the TTI momentum indicator, at the Sequents, with Rule of Alternation dictating the probable length of waves, as as the MA's were crossing down, signalling some confirmation that the highs had been fully rejected in favor of a budding 2nd trend down. ....just the right place to fade that technical confirmation signal and take long positions. Thus the failure of so many who use technical analysis signals.....they ignore CONTEXT. The booklets with titles like "Ten Things You Should Never Do" and "Follow These Ten Requirements for Trading Success" actually read more like a playbook to be faded. Confirmation is the killer of most traders. It brings them comfort to their entry executions, and disaster to their bottom line. It puts them squarely in the mix of the "90%" of most traders who consistently lose their account equity. ...but manages to help them feel better while losing it.

Many of these market psychology concepts and technical analysis can be found in the books Pivots, Patterns and Intraday Swings Trades, and True Self by Will Scheier, available in Kindle format at Amazon.com.

Serial Sequent™ ® is a fractal algorithm that identifies internal market pattern structure invisible to the naked eye. It's the exclusive propery of Will Scheier, ValhallaFutures.com, and available only in software format.

Thurs Nov 1 Trade Signals and Journal

20181101
Long 1 YM 12180, +50
Short 1 NQ 7010.25, +5.0
Long 1 NQ 6975.5, -1.75
Long 1 NQ 6965.5, -2.25
Long 1 NQ 6957.25, -0.5
Long 1 YM 25120, +50
Long 2 RTY, 1520.8, 1519.9, +2.0, +4.0
Total YM +100
Total NQ +0.5
Total RTY +6.0

NQ can be the pesky Roadrunner to your woeful Wile E.Coyote. Turns can be so frothy that even if you've I.D.'d the turn with something as marvelous as Serial Sequent, you still get stop'd out.... again and again... "Why the tight stops?" you might ask.... my experience in the NQ is that if you actually caught the turn, it takes you away so quickly 'like a log in a freshet' and if you're too early, it doesn't matter if your stop-loss was 2pts or 10pts, it gets you anyway... and on truly volatile days, like those of late, even the dodgy YM can make you goal at the Sequent Turns and breakouts.. Have a Trade Plan, and include 'How To Recover' re-entry directives within that Plan.