20150909
Long 1 TF 1166.6, -0.0
Long 2 TF 1165.6, 1165.1, -1.5, -0.7
Long 1 TF 1163.0, +1.2
Long 1 TF 1162.6, -0.2,
Long 1 TF 1162.6, +1.5
Long 1 TF 1160.5, -0.5
Long 2 TF 1160.4, 1160.4, +0.7, -0.3
Long 1 TF 1160.4, -0.3
Long 1 TF 1159.4, -0.7
Long 1 TF 1159.1, +2.0
Long 1 TF 1159.9, -0.5
Long 2 TF 1154.5, 1154.3, -0.7, +0.5
Long 1 NQ 4307.5, -2.0
Long 2 NQ 4305.5, 4305.5, +2.0, +3.0
Short 2 TF 1158.7, 1159.3, -0.0, +1.0
Total NQ +3.0
Total TF +1.5
At the opening today, we fulfilled in the daily frame a minimum requirement for the correction back up from the August crash to be complete, and thus be open to selling, as I posted in the room just at the opening (albeit a more complete bounce gets one more wave up). But that doesn't get us in a futures short position in the smaller frame automatically at the open. For that we need more precise modeling. When selling is eager, ideal short entry level and structure models go often unfulfilled and unfilled. That leaves selling on breakdowns, and if not chosen correctly, those can be painfully choppy. Today, the best breakdown came right from an example in the book 'Pivots, Patterns...' ...and so all the more embarrassingly emphatic to have missed it. When faced with poor counter trend bounces, be sure to keep the losses small. Partial out more quickly, and keep an eye on the Inflection Levels for the breakdown opportunities. The bear is usually much faster and impulsive than the oft-grinding bull. Thus, an eye for these breakdown levels is critical for participation. Although I've personally called at least 4 of the last 2 bear markets, straining my credibility just a bit...ha! ....that doesn't preclude me from having to be ready to trade in such an environment as the bear structures require. Be ready to shift to those more appropriate models accordingly.
